Posts written by Vninect

view post Posted: 4/1/2013, 03:28 Do as I say, not as I do.... - Economics
QUOTE
The short-term effects of fiscal policy on economic activity are only one of the many factors that need to be considered in determining the appropriate pace of fiscal consolidation for any single economy.

"Indeed, the short-term effect of keeping the poor in their filthy stinking place trumps all other factors, and increasing the pace of fiscal consolidation is therefore always appropriate. We just did this research for a bit of fun."
view post Posted: 1/1/2013, 03:25 Happy new year! - Media, Language, Politics and Public Service
A happy new year to anybody reading this!

May 2013 contain less disappointments and more of the opposite.
view post Posted: 23/12/2012, 14:52 Budget deficits: A look at Japan - Economics
QUOTE (FionaK @ 23/12/2012, 13:22) 
QUOTE
expansion of central bank’s balance sheet does not necessarily lead to higher inflation. Increases in reserves are merely outcomes of the expansion of the central bank’s balance sheet; they do not directly affect bank lending or credit growth, and inflationary pressures may not arise unless credit growth fuels economic activity. This is particularly true when an economy is characterized by excess slack and spare capacity, as Japan’s is.

Far from seeing increased inflation due to an increase in the money supply, Japan has seen the opposite. Since 2000 core consumer prices have fallen while the monetary base has risen in 9 of the 12 years; and the rate of inflation has fallen over the same period

Doesn't the underlined part of the quote also say that inflation comes from the way banks create money, i.e. by lending more than they have?
view post Posted: 20/12/2012, 22:17 Copyright - Media, Language, Politics and Public Service
QUOTE (FionaK @ 20/12/2012, 14:17) 
In other news Buma Sterma has been the object of a copyright case itself and has lost. It seems that they commissioned a dutch musician called Melchior Rietveldt to write a piece of music for use in an anti-piracy advert they were making. They told him it would be used exclusively at a local film festival and the payment presumably reflected that. However a year later Mr Rietveldt discovered that the advert was being put on dvd's which were sold around the world: and not obscure ones: he found his music on a harry potter dvd in 2007. Buma Sterma were not quick to put things right and so Mr Rietveldt sued. In July of this year he won and Buma Sterma was fined 20.000 euros and ordered to pay him the royalties he is due.

It is ironic that a company which claims to exist in order to protect copyright for artists has itself breached that law, and in a pretty obvious and simple way.

Haha! Hadn't read about that. Buma/Stemra seems more like a maffia than a rights advocate group. I don't trust them one bit.
view post Posted: 19/12/2012, 17:49 Copyright - Media, Language, Politics and Public Service
Copyright in the digital age always seems like an ill fitting shoe to me. On the one hand, it is indeed important that (music) artists and other content providers get paid for their work, and then perhaps it is fair that those who make more popular content get paid more. Perhaps... But if it is, then it seems to make sense that you link payment to the number of times something is accessed, which you can basically only know if you:
a) have access to all computers and charge an amount to the owner for having the content on it (which would be a horrible idea), or controlling the content player so it only plays what the owner of the content player paid for.
b) are the sole distributor of the content.
c) have a combination of those, like iTunes, which is a music player that can only play the songs you actually paid for, and at the same time lets you purchase songs easily.

There have been many, many lawsuits and problems with the b. category, because it is ridiculously easy to copy and distribute digital content and spread it around for free. The model seems to have been copied over from the real world, where material duplicators have not yet been invented, and now, lawyers the world over are fighting individuals over uploading content through non-authorized free distributors, such as torrent sites and youtube, and Kazaa and Napster before that. Of course, each time they have a partial success, the big boulder rolls down again - because it will always be ridiculously easy to copy digital content. Copying is what computers do really well. It seems obvious that a new payment model is required. Some bands have argued that they do not get much money at all for any records they sell, and that the so-called digital piracy is actually great promotion for the live shows that they do earn decent money with. Games, most famously World of Warcraft, have found that hosting multiplayer services is a great way to ensure that they get paid: you don't pay for the game world, but for access to the multiplayer server. However, I have not seen such solutions for movies and books, though it seems that the personal desktop is no real alternative to either: the experience you get in a cinema has not been killed by the pre-digital copying device vcr, and reading books from a screen has not yet caught on as much, even though hand-held digital reading devices like Kindle seem to have made a (temporary?) upsurge lately.

Radio falls in the a. category, because the radio host decides what to play, and you usually pay for it by listening to endless ads. Then, the radio station pays a portion of their profits to the content provider, which in this country is mostly supervised by a single foundation Buma/Stemra. I assumed they were some kind of bureaucratic body, but of course not, they are a private enterprise with profits and dividends, and one of their top secretaries is a big shot at a music publishing company - making it quite obvious that this is not just about protecting artists, but a whole industry, who we owe a living. Anyway.......

The reason I am starting a thread about this now is because of a report of a recent court case (link in Dutch) fining, and banning, a very popular website (2.47 million unique visitors per month) called Nederland.fm that collected a whole number of radio streams on one page. The website simply had an audio player in the middle, and then 36 icons around it of all of the biggest radio stations in the country. Clicking on an icon would play the radio stream through the central audio player, so you didn't need to switch websites to switch the channel. This kind of service is called a radio portal. It's very convenient, but apparently not simply allowed. It turns out Buma/Stemra has given permits to the individual radio stations to play their radio streams on their respective websites, on the basis of target audiences visiting those specific websites. Isolating just the stream on a different website, as Nederland.fm did, brought in a different audience (according to the court), and that was not what Buma/Stemra agreed to. Another - and perhaps more important - reason the court finds this portal problematic is that Nederland.fm has ads on its website, generating income for its owner, a mr. Souren. Souren did not pay dues out of these revenues to Buma/Stemra, effectively exploiting the musical works within the streams, while there is a specific billing structure for such portals.

That means that Souren was operating outside of agreements, and the website is rightly taken down. However, the agreement seems to me incredibly short-sighted. People apparently massively prefer Souren's portal website to the specific "audiovisual environments" of the radio stations. What seems to matter there, is the audio part, not so much the visual: it's radio after all. Hence, it seems to me that the radio station is responsible for owning the musical rights, and they pay for them out of their revenues. If more people hear their ads, their revenue goes up, and hence they pay more to Buma/Stemra (13% of net income with a minimum of €780 per year). It can't be true that ads listened through a portal, rather than directly on the website, cannot be counted: they had a way of estimating those numbers back when radio was analog. I don't really see where "target audience" comes in. Am I an illegal listener when I browse to classic.fm, because I am not a target audience, being a young person? Perhaps the advertisers pay a bit more for their ads targeted to older folk on classic.fm, but it's not the portal's fault I like to listen to it sometimes. Perhaps it helped me find it: in that case, the advertisers should figure out that every once in a while, it may be helpful to try to market young people stuff on classic fm, because there may be more people like me on the portal. I still don't see why Buma/Stemra has any say in all of that.

I am more sympathetic to the argument that Souren is exploiting the artistic content by making profits off collecting the streams on his website. But when I step back, I keep seeing that the ads on the radio streams are supposed to generate the revenue for the artists. I wonder if we are charging radio manufacturers for providing the same tool as the portal, or google for linking to all kinds of artistic stuff and making a profit out of that. I keep concluding that trying to contain copyright on the internet is a very clumsy kid.
view post Posted: 18/12/2012, 07:56 NHS privatisation - Media, Language, Politics and Public Service
It strikes me that the names of these companies are all very beautiful. "Silver Sea Holdings", "Harmoni", "Anglia Secure Homes". Quite fantastical, but totally missing that epic dimension in real life. (Except if by fantastical you mean fake.) Even "Care UK" sounds harmless and fun.

I almost feel like writing a story involving them, in some fairy tale land, which does justice to the poetic quality of the names, and none to reality.
view post Posted: 6/12/2012, 13:02 Oops: restoration =/= demolition! - Catch-all
It is said he got a permit for the destruction of a small outhouse. You do not destroy an outhouse with the kind of equipment and budget you need to destroy a whole Chateaux, concrete/heavy masonry and all. Also, you don't remove a building of that size in only 2 or 3 days, unless you have a reason to have it be gone before anybody can raise the alarm. But then, it could be that by "destroyed" they mean that it is damaged beyond any repair, which is still quite a challenge to achieve safely in only 2 or 3 days. The Russian fellow does not seem so shocked to investigate how this "miscommunication" has happened, because "the damage has already been done"... From where I'm sitting, it seems there are very few clues that this was indeed a miscommunication.
view post Posted: 28/11/2012, 20:40 Knight's move puzzle - Things to play with
That is a very effective example of the problem of current-day logarithmic computation. Nice.

The comment underneath the video links it to Artificial Intelligence (AI), which is still developing. I suspect that over time, computers may be able to recognize that pattern. Recently, google has developed a computer system that was able to recognize cats in images, with some success. The computer learned this by "looking" at 10 million thumbnail images from youtube videos. - By the way, it seems that the computer decided to focus on cats in those videos - maybe because we have a lot of those on youtube. I do not see if they were trying to teach it cats, for example by selecting videos featuring cats.

The specific outcome is not very useful for now, but it does indicate a direction towards more advanced pattern recognition, akin to the human brain.

From some sciency place:
http://phys.org/news/2012-06-google-team-s...ching-cats.html

Or from nytimes:
www.nytimes.com/2012/06/26/technolo...wanted=all&_r=0
view post Posted: 27/11/2012, 12:37 Poetry thread - Art, Movies, Games, Literature, and Religion
QUOTE (Theoacme @ 27/11/2012, 04:47) 
Vninect:
1- You are absolutely correct - you do not know me at all.
2- I cannot possibly reply to your comments right now.
3- I may never be able to respond to your hurtful and malicious comments - ever.

I am very sorry. It wasn't my intention to be hurtful or malicious. In fact, I carefully considered whether it would be read as such, because I realized I was being harsh on your work. However, I felt that my response was open and honest, and it does not come from any bad sentiment towards your person. Furthermore, I felt that some of the thoughts I wrote down may be helpful. Those were the considerations that made me submit my response. I hope you can see I did not mean any disrespect, and that you will not think ill of me for what I wrote.
view post Posted: 27/11/2012, 00:28 Poetry thread - Art, Movies, Games, Literature, and Religion
QUOTE (Theoacme @ 26/11/2012, 11:41) 
I wrote this earlier this year...

Cor ad cor loquitur


If someone shares with you their heart,
They may not know just where to start.
Perhaps they will ramble on so,
For they’re not sure, just where to go.
Perhaps they’ll stop, drowned in their tears,
Weighed down by hurt, burdened by fears.

So, if you must, go touch their hand,
Open your heart, and understand.
Their inner thoughts, once shared with you,
Surrendered heart, a treasure true.
They’ve yielded themself to you,
Protect their heart, you’ll need it too…

…for you, yourself, do want to share,
Your inner fears, so hard to bear.
They’ll touch your hand, and blot your tears,
Encourage you, listen and hear.
May no one stop, and make you part,
Til you are done – heart speaks to heart.

It is difficult to respond, because I don't really know you apart from 4 prior posts, but I tried something, and please bear in mind that I am working with a lot of assumptions, some or all of which may be incorrect. This is what I wrote, and perhaps it helps you.

--

Your poem has me considering "the heart" in human thought.

Reason and logic are prominent tools in making sense of the world and ourselves, so we use them a lot. They are often presented as highly cerebral functions: symbolized by the brain. But we can think of plenty of things that are beyond that. Those thoughts are sometimes symbolized by the gut, the belly, or the heart, but because they do not originate from the symbolic brain, we call them feelings.

A gut feeling is like an intuition or a suspicion that you can vocalize but not prove logically. A belly feeling is a harmless or familiar thought. Again, there needs to be no outspoken reason for it, it is just associated with being correct. They are both highly suspicious, and if we decide to act on them, as we sometimes do or must, it is wise to reflect on the results.

I take the heart to mean the thoughts that are also beyond logic and reason, sharing many characteristics of gut- or belly feelings, but further than those, being immune to (post-)rationalization. Obviously, it is sheer impossible to always differentiate between those with this definition, because you would need to rationalize every gut feeling to know it was one - and then it isn't one any more. Though perhaps it would be good, we don't always have the time or focus for this. Our brains have only so much capacity. By the way, there are plenty of rational choices we make that are also unexamined (they are called routine).

We generally tend to prefer the rational and logical, because we know they are sound. But what is left? Well, using my definition, that's not all pretty. They are bodily functions and hormone induced stresses. They are drifts; lust; anger; desire; fear. They are banalities, carnalities, irrationalities, some good, some bad. "Love", obviously, a combination of not so logical ideas. But in the heart category, there is also the unreasonable: a rather scary place.

I think I understand why you felt you needed to write that poem - though obviously, I can only guess at this point. But if you have always relied on non-heart thoughts, then perhaps you understand at some level what a cesspool the heart can be. That is what you need a hand for. Not for the lovely stuff.

I think it is good to explore the nice and the gory stuff in the "heart". I find novels and films very helpful tools to come to terms with the idealism and the evil inside my head. Discussing it is even better if you can, though it is obviously not without risk. Your audience may have certain expectations, especially if they know you for some time.

Let me just say that I appreciate that you are obviously investigating some parts of your mind that apparently bother you, and that you haven't given enough attention, according to what I hear you say. But then I also want to say that I do not like your poem at all. It's not saying anything. It's a prelude to something that might be awesome and brave and honest, but this is just easy. Also, I think it is too innocent. Too romantic. As I noted above, I think the heart is not an Elysium where fairies and flowers rule. I think it hosts all kinds of secrets. You are hoping for open hearts and extended hands. If you choose to share what you find, what you should be expecting is an interested audience, who may or may not recognize themselves in what you say. That's all, really. I don't think they can facilitate you in any way, other than encouraging you to go on and spew. Go forth and shine light on that dark, pulsating lump, see what happens. Enlightenment means you get to see beautiful things - and filth.
view post Posted: 25/11/2012, 15:48 The morass that is "rights" - Philosophy and Psychology
QUOTE (Theoacme @ 25/11/2012, 14:26) 
I have a lot of Christmas decorating to do today, and a nine year old niece here too, so I will explain further about how Savita's case incited a severe crisis of faith in me, later on. (I have to be off the computer, so she does not want to go on hers :) )

I would certainly be interested to hear how you got to such a "crisis of faith" from an abortion discussion. When you do, please open a new thread, as this one is about the topic of rights. Also, welcome to TBW :)
view post Posted: 23/11/2012, 15:40 Tax - Economics
QUOTE (FionaK @ 13/11/2012, 22:20) 
After the PAC hearing it is now clear that the Netherlands is actually a major tax haven for the multinationals (Starbucks in particular). I did not know that before. Starbucks declined to give details because they said they are bound to confidentiality by the dutch government. How very curious....

www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2012/11...nday-afternoon/

... which, you will be interested to learn, is not reported at ALL in Holland (except by the Groene Amsterdammer), even though the money apparently being funnelled through our tax system is 20 times the national product.

By the way, I'm pretty sure you can choose to make your records public, if you're the owner of a company. But you are not obliged to do so, which is why our country is such a popular place to do evil - business.
view post Posted: 29/10/2012, 12:57 Crash Course - Art, Movies, Games, Literature, and Religion
QUOTE (FionaK @ 29/10/2012, 11:18) 
I think it is perhaps self fulfilling. Or maybe it is a just a cultural difference. You can probably adapt to this style so that you do,in fact, absorb the content, despite the delivery: but I have not been exposed to enough of it to know because generally I switch that kind of thing off very quickly. It has the same effect on me as midgies.

Actually, in the crash course series, the overwhelming speed of the videos is acknowledged in the very first video of the series, but they advise that these are videos rather than conversations, meaning that you can view again, or pause and repeat parts.

As for someone doing small-talk and news tidbits, along with plugs for his own merchandise and such: Even if you missed something, you didn't miss anything. :B):
753 replies since 12/5/2011